How many times has John Gosden been champion trainer?

In March, 2021, John Gosden became the highest-profile trainer to take advantage of the training partnership licensing scheme and now holds a joint licence with his son, Thady, who completed the modular training courses required by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA) earlier in the year. However, in his own right, John Gosden has held a training licence in Britain since 1989 and has been champion trainer five times, in 2012, 2015, 2018, 2019 and 2020.

Having begun his training career in Calfornia, Gosden moved to Newmarket in 1989 and was subsequently appointed private trainer to Robert Sangster in Manton, Wiltshire, before settling at his current base, Clarehaven Stables, back in Newmarket, in 2005. Highlights of his first title-winning season included victories at the highest level for Fallen For You in the Coronation Stakes, Nathaniel in the Coral-Eclipse and The Fugue in the Nassau Stakes. Three years later, Gosden won the Derby, the Coral-Eclipse, the Irish Champion Stakes and the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe with Golden Horn.

More recently, his stable stars have included the likes of Enable, Cracksman, Roaring Lion, Stradivarius and Palace Pier, all of whom have contributed, more than once, to his career total of 84 Group 1 winners. Since joining forces, at the time of writing, the Gosdens have collectively saddled 110 winners from 493 runners in 2021 and lie third in the trainers’championship table with £3.39 million in prize money.

Is It Worth Betting on the Outsider in a Horse Race?

Are you the type of punter who bets on favourites or outsiders?

Both have strength and weakness.

Each to their own, you might say. If your betting pays, you don’t need to listen to anyone’s opinion but your own. However, if you are losing hand over fist you need to question why. Gambling is about having answers to questions. They will never be one hundred percent correct but if you are betting with your emotions or knee-jerk reactions you will pay a hefty price.

Cold, hard cash.

If you are a favourite backer, you don’t need me to tell you, your win strike better be high. Even if you are a very successful gambler, you will be talking about a return on investment (ROI) of 10 or 20% (if you’re lucky). So many people bet on favourites but, on average, about 30% win. That number should be a sobering thought. It details that you are going to struggle to win without being selective. All gambling should be skill based. If you are betting on luck then you need to go watch TV and go do something less boring instead.

An important part of betting is your stake. There are books written on this subject so a short paragraph can only detail one or two thoughts. However, I would suggest whether you bet odds-on or 100/1 shot, you bet level stake. This may sound crazy but if you don’t you will find you bet less on the bigger priced winners when they are ones that make your season.

Ask my brother who bet £20 at 200/1 and won £4,000.

If you don’t bet on outsiders you don’t have to think about much more than the jolly.

But what are the true odds of a 50/1 horse winning, let’s day, a two-year-old race?

It very much depends on the horse. I’ve seen a number of rags (outsiders) win easily. Clearly, they should never have been such huge odds. It happens from time to time. In general, you don’t need to be a Professor of Mathematics to say most horses priced 50/1 should be double or triple those odds.

I’m sure you have seen a 250/1 shot with the bookmakers priced 999/1 on the exchanges.

I’ve recently concluded a study which shows the price of every winner for a 2yo Flat turf seasons. This gave me an opportunity to review the success or failure of horses at speculative-priced odds.

You would be surprised how few horses win at giant odds.

For example just 46 horse won at odds priced 20/1+. The biggest priced winner being priced 150/1.

Quite startling only 8 horses won at odds bigger than 33/1. This data didn’t include handicaps or plating class.

It shows the likelihood of a horse winning at big odds.

This doesn’t mean to say the horse at shorter starting odds hasn’t been substantially backed. My good friend, Eric Winner, tipped a horse at 100/1 and its starting price (SP) was 12/1. However, this insight leads most punters to think betting on outsiders isn’t a good bet. In fact, most bookmaker’s profit is made from these, often, luckless flutters.

It doesn’t mean you cannot win a fortune for a small bet.

It happens.

How Do You Make Money Betting on Horse Racing?

It’s a question many gamblers have asked.

When 98% of gamblers lose money on a regular basis, there is one thing you need to do – separate yourself from the crowd.

It’s logical to think the majority of gamblers cannot win. So the question is: ‘How can the average punter set themselves apart?’

It’s a fallacy that difference the between a successful and poor gambler is about how much money they bet. The wisdom being, the more you bet the more success you will have. This is completely wrong. Without honing your skills you have little chance of beating your opponent – the layer who takes your bet.

But how can your average punter set himself apart?

By having a niche.

You may ask: ‘Why do you need to have a niche?’ Simply because you cannot know everything. A the wise man knows that you don’t need to either. Sometimes less is more and that is the case about a skill-based knowledge.

The chance of a beginner beating a seasoned chess player is zero.

There is no mystery to success or failure. Winning and losing is based on the skill to educate or find a mentor who can do the groundwork.

My specialism is two-year-old horse racing. It is an an age group of race horses which I know to a very high level. In fact, I am confident I am one of the leading experts within this field. This knowledge sets me apart from the crowd.

If you want to make money betting on horse racing then you need to find answers to questions, work in a professional manner and bet selectively when the odds are in your favour.

At times, even the best gamblers need a little bit of luck. In the sense if you have a horse that wins by a nose, you’d rather it be a speculative bet to win a grand than an odds-on favourite.

However, if you rely on luck rather than skill you will soon be living in the poor house.

Which trainer saddled most winners for King Power Racing in 2021?

King Power Racing was founded in 2017 by late Thai billionaire Vichai Srivaddhanaprabha, who died in a helicopter crash in October, 2018 and was succeeded as chairman by his son, Aiyawatt. In the interim, King Power Racing has grown rapidly, sending out 413 runners in 2021 so far, compared with just 48 in 2017. At the time of writing, the 2021 Flat season is not quite at an end, but in the Flat Owners’ Championship, which ended on October 16, King Power Racing finished third, with 40 winners and £1.69 million in prize money.

The seasonal highlight was, undoubtedly, a second ever Group 1 win, courtesy of Winter Power, trained by Tim Easterby and ridden by retained jockey Silvestre de Sousa, in the Nunthorpe Stakes at York in August. All told, Easterby has saddled nine winners from 61 runners for King Power Racing, at a strike rate of 15%, while Sir Michael Stoute has also saddled nine winners, but from just 39 runners, at an improved strike rate of 23%.

The most prolific trainer for King Power Racing, though, has been Andrew Balding, who has saddled 19 winners from 152 runners, at a strike rate of 13%, and earned just shy of £940,000 in total prize money. The other trainers to saddle winners for King Power Racing in 2021, so far, have been Richard Hannon and Roger Varian, with seven winners apiece, and Kevin Ryan and Ed Walker, with a single winner apiece.

 

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